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6.1.2018 22:25

EU’s Report on Cryptocurrencies: Says Officials “Should Not Ignore” Them

...The EU’s Policy Department for Economic, Scientific and Quality of Life Policies released a report entitled “Virtual currencies and central banks monetary policy: challenges ahead.” Authored ...
6.1.2018 19:29
...On July 2, 2018, Coinbase officially launched Coinbase Custody. After accepting its first trial deposit last week, the newly introduced custodial service is up and running.“Today, we’re proud ...
6.0.2018 18:22
...Bitcoin sits precariously perched at the bottom of the annual market low and many bitcoin investors aren’t sure what to make of it. Although the market seems to be continuing its drift to new ...
5.5.2018 22:17
...The Supreme Court announced on June 28, 2018, that it will not reconsider the conviction or life sentence of Ross Ulbricht, the alleged mastermind behind the darknet site Silk Road. At press ...
5.5.2018 22:13
... On June 14, 2018, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) director of corporate finance made waves in the cryptocurrency space when he commented at Yahoo Finance’s All Market Summit: ...
5.5.2018 19:49
...This week, the U.S. Department of Justice and other law enforcement agencies banded together to bring down some bad actors on the dark web. EOS is undergoing some growing pains with the launch ...
5.5.2018 19:25
...Technologist and Apple Inc. co-founder Steve Wozniak played contrarian at the NEX technology conference in late June, comparing the hype around blockchain to the fervor he witnessed just ...
5.5.2018 18:33
...The Maltese Parliament has voted into law three cryptocurrency and blockchain bills, making Malta one of the most desirable locations for setting up blockchain enterprises.According to ...
5.5.2018 17:14
...The Bank of England has warned U.K. lenders to study cryptocurrencies before doing business in the space. In a letter sent out to the financial institutions in the country yesterday, the Bank ...
5.5.2018 16:18
...

NOW READING:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: New Low on Low Volume Breeds Potential Bullish Set-up

OPINION
by

Bitcoin sits precariously perched at the bottom of the annual market low and many bitcoin investors aren’t sure what to make of it. Although the market seems to be continuing its drift to new lows with greater and greater ease, there are a couple of bullish signals worth considering while the market continues to consolidate:

On Friday, June 29, 2018, for the first time this year, the daily candles closed below the annual low of $6,000s. However, something to note about this bearish close is the lack of volume and lack of momentum on the follow through. Overall, the volume is continuing to consolidate and it appears to be within the realm of an accumulation trading range (TR).

Typically, we would expect to see a stronger round of selling taking place with such a bearish close. But that isn’t what we see at all — we are actually seeing contracting volume as the market continues to push lower. This gives the bulls hope for a potential market move called a “spring”. A spring can occur in with an accumulation period and is often preceded by a “creek”. A creek is characterized by meandering, downward price action which decreases in volume as the market drifts effortlessly downward. On the tail-end of a creek, there is often a spring.

While there are many types of springs, the current one we are specifically considering has a low volume that pushes the price low, but which sees very little follow through and shows little signs of excess floating supply in the market. The market’s trend is most certainly down, but this spring scenario is still a possibility that we should consider.

If we manage to push to a new low and realize a continuation of the downtrend, we can expect to see a fairly violent move downward as we reach for support. The consequence of a parabolic move is that there are no proper support levels established because the price is rising so rapidly. If we continue downward, the move is likely to take us to the 78% macro fibonacci retracement values shown below:

A break below current values on strong volume would undoubtedly shakeout the rest of the cryptomarket. Many coins are already experiencing all-time lows, and this would cause them to explore deeper and deeper lows as the market struggles to find a temporary bottom. For me, this is a no-trade-zone, as there are both bullish and bearish arguments. Since the market is trending downward, I’m inclined to argue in favor of the bears.

However, as the market progresses, I think the arguments are beginning to stack up for the bulls, as well. The spring scenario mentioned above, in my opinion, is not a point of action but is something traders/investors should consider as a point of interest — in other words, it has not been confirmed. Until the market breaks from this consolidation, we will have to just be flexible with our opinions and process the information as it comes in.

Friday evening saw a strong round of buying and has many bullish investors already calling for a bottom. Friday’s daily candle managed to close a bullish engulfing candle on relatively high volume. Although this is certainly a bullish event, we have yet to break out of the downtrend or close a daily candle back inside the macro TR. If we can manage to break the downtrend and close back inside the TR, the case for the macro spring will get one more check in its column.

Summary:

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